. I mean the whole world ought to be mad at China, we should all be going to war against them. Of Wood Countys 92,119 registered voters, 9,479 of them are Democrats, 8,315 are Republicans, and 74,240 are independents, according to numbers from the Board of Elections. One older woman with a Biden sign outside her home simply said, Im voting for Biden, and thats all Ive got to say.. For much of the last decade, historically Republican suburban areas in Franklin, Ohio,. There are three counties that voted with the eventual winner for each of the past 10 elections,. Miller is often faced with tough decisions in his business. If he wouldve just kept his mouth shut , Im not happy with the way things are now, Beggs added. He loves his country to the point where he wants it to do well.. He also drives more than 40 miles from Marblehead to Wellington to pick up his truck. Over the past nearly 40 years, presidential elections have observed an intriguing phenomenon: 19 counties in the nation have always voted for the winner, be it Republican or Democrat. Data de l'entrada martin county clerk of court jobs; whats wrong secretary kim dramawiki . He also intends to vote in personto ensure his vote is counted that day, although he used a mail-in ballot to vote in the primary. In 2016, he definitely was the lesser of two evils, Zulch said. Your email address will not be published. Also, spare a thought for Webster County in Georgia. Ottawa County along Lake Erie in northwest Ohio had one of the nation's longest streaks of supporting the presidential candidate who won the White House. All the negativity, and just pure anger for this one person in office I have never seen it before. On . This belief in the efficacy of small numbers is probably strengthened by the fact that a random sample of only 2,000 or so voters is considered by statisticians large enough to predict election results in an electorate of well 140 million or so at least if the sample is truly random and the respondents are not lying either about their preferences or the likelihood that they will vote in the election. Rarely are we really stuck with people in leadership that are fairly moderate. Westmoreland County, Virginia, is almost one third black. In Ridgway, Biden supporters were more difficult to find and more reluctant to talk than Trump supporters, but a few yard signs were dotted around. Colleton County, South Carolina - one miss since 1968 (in 1980), perfect since 1984. Enforce the ones that you do have, he said. In 2020, all but one of the bellwethers picked President Donald Trump by a margin of some 16 points on average. After the 46-state landslide, James Farley, Roosevelts campaign manager, revised the theory: As goes Maine, so goes Vermont.. Longtime Rep. Marcy Kaptur, a Democrat who has been in Congress since 1983, is running for reelection; Teresa Gavarone and J.R. Majewski are competing in the GOP primary. Moreover, if we look at the political features of the bellwethers, we do not find them exclusively among counties that are highly politically competitive. (Charlotte Cuthbertson/The Epoch Times) By Charlotte. She only voted once, at the urging of her husband, when they got married about 30 years ago. January 5, 2021: Rep. Jordan attacks "liberal judges" and state officials for their role in the election. The researchers also mapped all U.S. counties (over 3,000) by their bellwether scoretheir record of voting for the overall winner in each of the previous 10 presidential electionsgiving progressively larger weight to more recent elections. I feel that if Trump is president again, that will cease. Theres too much corruption. He also believes many local Biden voters made the decision to vote for the Democratic candidate years ago, but theyre not going to be vocal about it.. He loves this country. When you were in the union, they always wanted you to vote for Democrats, Paul said. Many of its residents include farmers, retirees who love to fish, and more than 3,300 military veterans. But theyre happy with that and theyre proud of what they created. The northern portion of the county, in towns such as Rossford and Northwood, is the blue-collar and working-class crowd and Perrysburg is home to upscale housing developments. The Epoch Times - YouTube He says hes going to vote for the lesser of two evils.. They take pride in going to work, owning their home, having that simple life. Will Ohios Wood County Continue to Be a Reliable Bellwether Indicator? Vance. By Cara Ding. Right now, its horrible. The shift is evident when comparing current registrations with the 2016 numbers. When gas went up that time, our sales went down to zero, Zulch said. 0:00 0:00. He worked in HVAC repair with the local pipefitters union and also owns a small concession business, setting up at events. I think it worked out without me.. "The three potentially competitive races in Virginia with Democratic incumbents could be a national bellwether," veteran Virginia political analyst Bob Holsworth told The Epoch Times. Its just not that great, Paul said. The ones he lost went to Biden by a margin of about 4 points on average. Pre-performance Lobby events. Yet unofficial vote counts now show Biden in the lead and with enough electoral votes to claim the presidency. Were offering a $250 bonus if someone can work 20 or more hours during their first four weeks of employment with us. We believe that there are two main reasons. The county, located along the Illinois border, has a mix of rural and urban demographics. He cares about the American people.. Many counties in states that have reliably voted for one party for many cycles are home to counties which have almost always voted for the winner of the election; for example, South Carolina has two strong bellwether counties despite being a reliably Republican state, and California has a number of strong bellwethers in its central valley despite being a reliably Democratic state.. Although longtime county residents say that Wood County is in pretty good shape overallas there has been some recent industrial development on its north sideit also has been affected by national issues such as inflation, the price of gasoline, supply chain issues, and workforce shortages. President Trump won every single bellwether county, except Clallam County in Washington. Hes concerned about big government, burdensome regulations, and encroachments on the Constitution. She sees the economy, trade, China, and the Middle East peace deal as top issues. Many counties in states that have reliably voted for one party for many cycles are home to counties which have almost always voted for the winner of the election; for example, South Carolina has two strong bellwether counties despite being a reliably Republican state, and California has a number of strong bellwethers in its central valley despite being a reliably Democratic state.. We use cookies to understand how you use our site and to improve your experience. No one who spoke to The Epoch Times had anything positive to say about Wolfs continued shutdowns in the state. What a Bellwether County Is Saying About 2020 Election - The Epoch Times Edie Martin is struggling to get her diner back in the black after being closed for almost three months over the pandemic. As for the pandemic, he doesnt think Trump has done a bad job on that. With the price of gas going up, Zulch is afraid of a return to high fuel prices caused by Hurricane Katrina in Louisiana 16 years ago and that soaring costs will again hurt his business. They missed in 1908 and 1952, but otherwise, the county has well earned its reputation as a bellwether. Recently, the company needed to find a part for one of its trucks, and it actually located the only part available in the United States and was able to get it. Median household incomes range from $65,000 in Bremer County, Iowa, to $32,000 in Hidalgo County, New Mexico. I would never vote any other way. While these are the top bellwether counties, there are many more that are considered to be predictive. Peloton plans to complete construction on the building on its 200-acre property and sell it, but will downsize its workforce. Hes happy about the passage of the First Step Act, criminal justice reform that Trump signed into law in 2018, which includes decreased sentences for some drug crimes, and also makes it easier to get out of prison early for good behavior. Instead of guns and bullets, hes bringing our troops home, hes ending wars. March 3, 2023 Updated: March 3, 2023. And the thing is, when they have these laws now that they arent enforcing, what good is another law going to be? Understanding the I-4 corridor's bellwether mojo requires defining the area. I cannot support a candidate that is not pro-life. Pro-life is one of the top items on his list of issues. I dont feel good about the leadership in our country right now.. RIDGWAY, Pa.Tucked into a wooded valley in north-central Pennsylvania is the bellwether borough of Ridgway, the county seat . In 2016, nearly 100 million eligible Americans didnt vote. We are a rural county here, Hill told The Epoch Times. They also found that high scoring counties do exhibit a geographic trend. Results from 28 counties have still not been finalized, per Brookings Institution. He didnt vote in 2016 either. An Inquiry of Bellwether Counties in US Presidential Elections - SSRN The unhappiness and unsatisfactory conditions have spread similar to the way COVID-19 has, a truck driver by the name of Sam, who also was at Wee Willys, told The Epoch Times. First, we can readily imagine that some counties demographically/politically mirror the nation, and thus monitoring this small set of counties closely would tell us with high predictive reliability what will happen nationally. I got a life. Only one, Clallam County in Washington, went for former Vice President Joe Biden and only by about a 3 point margin. Both Hidalgo and Valencia County, New Mexico, are close to 60 percent Hispanic. There are 22 counties in the US that managed to vote for the winning party in every single election from 1988 to 2016. You have to take the lesser of two evils. Sawyer County, Wisconsin, and Clallam County, Washington, have substantial Native American populations, the authors said. Our roads need to be fixed. Copyright 2000 - 2023 The Epoch Times Association Inc. All Rights Reserved. Since Trump got voted in, it was when I started getting into politics, Tisdell told The Epoch Times while sitting in his garage. It was easy. Only 1 of 17 bellwether counties went for Biden this year! In economics, a 'bellwether' is a leading indicator of an economic trend. (Cara Ding/The Epoch Times). By continuing to use our site, you accept our use of cookies, revised Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. Just off Interstate 75 at the Pemberville/Bowling Green exit, is Frickers, a popular eatery and gathering place for people of all ages, whereChris Chamberlin ofBowling Green works as the restaurants manager. 'I Should Start Voting'. It is as if the devastating rebuttals by Tufte in Data Analysis for Politics and Policy or the equally devastating review of the evidence in David A. Hopkins 2017 book Red Fighting Blue never happened. In Terre Haute, 52-year-old Scott Hamilton said the main issue for him in this election is how divided the nation is; he said Trump is mostly to blame. But thats not the picture I look at. In both of the missteps, the residents wrongly picked the losing Democrat: Williams Jennings Bryan over President William Taft in 1908 and Adlai Stevenson over President Dwight Eisenhower in 1952. Youre not getting anybody perfect. Missouri fits this definition, as do six counties that have matched the national vote. Copyright 2000 - 2023 The Epoch Times Association Inc. All Rights Reserved. Here's why. And it can happen.. Our infrastructure is in bad shape.. Previously, he covered national topics including politics, economy, education, and law enforcement. But Hamilton thinks more changes are needed. I just want Trump in. Washington state's Clallam County was the outlier, backing Joe Biden in a state he won by more than 19 points. Our model also links this decline to increases in polarization. US election results: Why the most accurate bellwether counties were America's most accurate bellwether counties, regions that have a reputation for accurately picking the president, got the presidential election completely wrong. Myers works as an electrician and long supported the Democratic Party along with his union. She shook her head at the high price of gas. This includes personalizing content and advertising. That is a very good thing to have. Trump swiped 51 of them by an average margin of nearly 15 points. Copyright 2000 - 2023 The Epoch Times Association Inc. All Rights Reserved. I dont think my vote counts, he told The Epoch Times. Plastic cups and straws also have been hard to come by because they require natural gas in their manufacturing process. Farming also is huge here. He considers Trump pro-life. Biden Won Despite Losing Most Bellwether Counties They are not even the regular masks to filter it out. We and the rest of the states boards of elections have been directed by the Ohio Secretary of States Office to hold the election on May 3. Her husband, a groundskeeper at an Army Reserve base, comes from a strongly Democratic family. If you own a business and you have a bad summer where it rains every weekend, youre out of luck.. There is another bellwether list of 58 counties that has correctly picked each president since 2000; Trump won 51 of them by an average margin of nearly 15 points. Thats about 43 percent of the eligible voters in the country, according to a study of nonvoters overseen by professors at Tufts University and Stony Brook University. Ohio's Ottawa County: Staying Afloat as One of the Top Bellwether She also said that many people who come into the pub are outspoken about the current state of affairs in the United States, especially on Saturdays when the crowds are larger. In both of the missteps, the residents wrongly picked the losing Democrat: Williams Jennings Bryan over President William Taft in 1908 and Adlai Stevenson over President Dwight Eisenhower in 1952. A diverse group of residents, many were surprised to wake up the morning of Nov. 4, 2020, to see that Joe Biden overtook Trumps leads in numerous battleground states from the night beforesuch as in Arizona, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. As the 2022 mid-term elections near (May 3 in Ohio), one might think that the Republican and Democratic headquarters might be open and in full swing, but at both party offices the week of Feb. 21, the lights were out and no one was occupying the desks inside or answering the phones. (Charlotte Cuthbertson/The Epoch Times). Note: This article gives the views of the author, and not the position of USAPP American Politics and Policy, nor the London School of Economics. Nestled along Lake Erie in the northwest of. Like all-or nothing bellwethers, counties that closely tracked the election for 12 consecutive elections failed to continue that form for a 13th time. Its too big. Myerss morals include being respectful to others, and he thinks Trump has failed in that regard. I believe in what they call entitlement programs, Hamilton said. A lot of people think things are. The bellwether scores map highlights the fact that many states have a good bellwether county or two, even if they did not make the list of the nineteen counties which have always voted for the winning candidate, they said. Global Trade Policy Challenges: preparing for the next decade, Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 3.0 Unported. Jacobs believes theres more enthusiasm for Trump now than before the 2016 electionin Elk County and around the country. Until we have term limits for politicians, this country doesnt have a prayer.. That was a blow to the area, Miller said about Peloton ending its plans for a $400 million project. (Michael Sakal/The Epoch Times). Wood Countyaswith Ottawa County, its neighbor to the east along Lake Erieis filled with farm fields, is home to many military veterans (about 7,000 of them), and hasnt seen much expansion or change since the late 1970s or early 1980s. By registering for the newsletter, you agree to the, New Crew From US, Russia, and UAE Arrives at Space Station, LIVE NOW: Biden Awards Medal of Honor to Retired Army Col. Paris Davis, We Have to Pay Our Sins: Lawmakers Must Negotiate Way Out of US Debt Crisis: Sen. Manchin, Suspect Charged After Chicago Officer Dies After Shootout, Nevada Approves $330 Million in Tesla Tax Abatements Over Gigafactory Expansion. There isnt anything I can do to change it or to make it better by voting.. We were as far down to five cooks last year. A state is considered a "bellwether state" if it usually . We use cookies to understand how you use our site and to improve your experience. He was working on his neighbors lawn when he paused to talk to The Epoch Times. Haotian Chen University of California, Irvine State residents are awaiting a ruling from the Ohio Supreme Court about whether it will approve the newly proposed congressional map that the Ohio Redistricting Commission submitted to the high court earlier this month. In a 2020 article, Daniel Zimny-Schmitt and Michael Harris look for bellwether counties in the period 1980-2016 and identify nineteen such. Four City Technologies makes the lock-tight coatings on the threads of the components. And just a few miles outside the countys urban center of Terre Haute, youll find a sprawl of soybean and corn farms, with a rural demographic that often leans Republican. Just two have populations in excess of 100,000, the authors said. Miller doesnt hesitate to say that he isnt happy with the current state of affairs and he doesnt know who hell vote for in the next presidential election. County residents had voted for the presidential candidate who won the White House for nearly 60 years, since Democrat Lyndon Johnson won in 1964, according to the Ottawa County Board of Elections. I just think theres going to be a lot of problems if he doesnt become our president all the violence and the riots. The Upper Mississippi River Valley and it [sic] surrounding area in particular appears to be an epicenter of these high-scoring bellwethers., Teresa Shepherd stands in front of her daughters house in Seelyvilee, Ind., on Oct. 20, 2020. Now, being more than $3 a gallon, people are beginning to notice it more as its putting a pinch on their wallets. Moreover, once we allow for bellwethers to have less than perfect records of success, the expected numbers of bellwethers increases much more rapidly than most (including us) would expect. Its a county where the residents are proud of its powdered metal factories and where the Ford F-Series is as ubiquitous as the American flag. He said hes concerned but hopeful for the future. Teresa Shepherd, a middle-aged woman living in Riley, just southeast of Terre Haute, has never cared much about voting. But according to the. Over the past nearly 40 years, presidential elections have observed an intriguing phenomenon: 19 counties in the nation have always voted for the winner, be it Republican or Democrat. Since picking the winning candidate in Democrat Lyndon Baines Johnson in 1964, it has deviated from the winner only twice. I hope.. I think they [the current administration] are trying to push us into buying electric cars. Since then, he has been doing odd jobs, such as cutting grass or trimming trees for neighbors. We have to figure out a way to control fuel prices. If he does not answer that issue clearly, I will not vote for him.. In the May 3 primary, theres also a mix of familiar names with new candidates on the ballot. Shepherd said being able to bear arms is of particular importance now and she fears Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden would restrict that right. The insulting back and forth really bothers me about any candidate, Myers said. His message to Trump is: Shut up and quit twittering. We need to make sure we keep our gun rights.. Thus, for some sequences of elections there are indeed, bellwether counties. It swung from Barack Obama in 2012 to Donald Trump in 2016, and political science professor Matthew Bergbower says its something akin to a purple county.. Chamberlin, who has worked for the regional chain for 17 years, estimates he has saved about $2,000 in gas over the past year. Whether you respect the man or not, he is still the president of the United States and you should respect that.. The strongest bellwether counties are those that back the winning candidate in all elections. Im seeing more hate for this man than he has hated anyone, Tisdell said. Bellwethers arent a crystal balltheir streak was expected to end sooner or later. Biden has talked both ways, so its hard for me to really grasp where he is on the issue. dionisia pacquiao net worth; leer un archivo excel en sql server; alix pasquet iii relationship; american gold eagle type 1 vs type 2; sniper spotting scope; I think everyone has the same opinion that things arent good.. Were a service industry-oriented area. A number of fertilizer plants closed across the country last year due to natural gas shortages. At 6:30 pm we kick off an evening that showcases and celebrates Ukrainian arts and culture. The Upper Mississippi River Valley and it [sic] surrounding area, in particular, appears to be an epicenter of these high-scoring bellwethers., Teresa Shepherd, resident of the Indiana bellwether county of Vigo, in front of her daughters house in Seelyville, Ind., on Oct. 20, 2020. Hamilton had already cast his vote for Biden on the first day of early voting. We use cookies to understand how you use our site and to improve your experience. He said Vigo County is fairly evenly divided between those who identify as Republicans and those who identify as Democrats. We use cookies to understand how you use our site and to improve your experience. Supreme Court nominees also matter a lot to Myers in this election. Thats probably the biggest fear right now when I talk to people. Carol Jacobs in Ridgway, Elk County, Penn., on Sept. 17, 2020. It hurts the older people like me who are on a fixed income.. As far as Wood County being a bellwether county, we do have a mixed group of people here. Unbridled Evil: The Corrupt Reign of Jiang Zemin in China. Theres too much mishandling, she said. The price of regular gas at the local Sheetz was $2.53already substantially higher than across the border in West Virginia, where $2.19 was the norm. Westmoreland is the only one in the South; Clallam is the only county on the West Coast, and Hidalgo and Valencia are the only counties in the Mountain West. However, the political viewpoints of its residents are mixed as they have become more wary and leery of the government. The Republican has been a big supporter of water quality on Lake Erie, and were looking to get another candidate that sees that as a priority.. Epoch Times: "Bellwether Counties Went Overwhelmingly for Trump in 2020" Find UFOs, The Apocalypse, New World Order, Political Analysis, Alternative Health, Armageddon, Conspiracies, Prophecies, Spirituality, Home Schooling, Home Mortgages and more, in: Rumor Mill News Reading Room, Current Archive Required fields are marked *. And the media is just taking it overboard., Shepherd said of Trump: I do know that he is not a selfish person. Biden win ends streak for US election bellwethers - The Mercury News
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